FORSITE AS A TOOL FOR IMPROVING THE EFFICIENCY OF PUBLIC GOVERNANCE

Abstract

In the conditions of growing uncertainty, the organization of activities in public administration increasingly needs the support of the strategic decision-making system based on the tools of future research and foresight. The most common methods include the Delphi method, forecasting, development of road maps and scenarios, which are used for the formation of science and technology and innovation policy. Each of these methods provides a structured collection of information and allows for the creation of scientifically based knowledge about the future. Foresight studies traditionally have a practical orientation, while relatively little attention is paid to their theoretical and methodological basis. The variety of methods and weak systematization of procedures make it difficult to choose the appropriate tool for solving a specific task. Nevertheless, the foresight community recognizes the importance of theoretical foundations for understanding the essence of future research methods, encouraging their application and teaching the necessary skills. The article substantiates the importance of foresight in public administration, especially when developing regional or local development strategies, projects and programs. The purpose of the article is to substantiate the foresight methodology for the development of future scenarios in the medium and long term, as the basis for the formation of a state strategy for the development of the country, region, and sphere of activity, as well as to substantiate the feasibility of introducing foresight into public administration as an effective forecasting tool that ensures the development of democratic relations between subjects and objects of public administration. The essence of foresight has been studied. The theoretical and methodological principles of foresight implementation as a public management tool are considered. Attention is focused on the fact that foresight ensures the effective development of public administration through the public interaction of government entities with society regarding the development of strategies and the selection of strategic alternatives for development in the socio-economic sphere; aimed at improving the quality of decisions made now and coordinating joint actions. It was emphasized that such cooperation conditions the development of self-organization of society, which allows citizens and their associations to implement their interests and initiatives in the widest possible way, to maintain an equal dialogue with the authorities. The necessity of improving the foresight methodology, development and implementation of automation procedures for both individual stages and the foresight as a whole is indicated.